"Is now a good time" is really six personal questions, not one market call. Work through them and the answer stops being a guess about the whole market and becomes a decision about your situation.
Your rate
What can you actually lock?
The market rate matters less than the rate and term you personally qualify for. A firm pre-approval turns an abstract worry into a real monthly number you can test against your budget — and it holds that rate while you shop, protecting you if the market moves. Bring that number, not a guess, to every showing so you are comparing homes against your real budget.
Your segment
What is your price band doing?
Detached, townhome and apartment segments are rarely in sync. A citywide headline can be falling while the exact type and area you would buy is flat or rising. The only trend that should move you is the one for your specific segment. Ask to see the trend line for your exact property type and area, not the blended citywide headline.
Your choice
How much inventory is there?
More active listings means more negotiating room, more time to think, and less pressure to overpay. Thin inventory does the opposite. Choice — not the headline price — is what actually shapes the leverage you will have at the table. Count the active listings that genuinely compete with what you want before you decide the market is tight.
Your math
Rent vs. own, honestly
Compare the true monthly cost of owning — mortgage, taxes, strata, insurance and maintenance — against your current rent, not against a best-case scenario. When you own the real numbers, the decision gets a lot less emotional. Run the comparison over five years, not one month, so a single noisy data point does not drive a major decision.
Your timeline
How long will you hold?
The longer you plan to stay, the less short-term price movement matters, because time smooths out the wobble. A five-year-plus horizon absorbs a great deal of market noise that would rattle a two-year buyer. If your plans might change inside three years, that uncertainty matters more than any forecast about prices.
Your cost of waiting
What does a year cost?
Waiting has a price too — another year of rent that builds no equity, plus the risk that rates or prices move against you. Weigh that honestly against the comfort of holding off, rather than assuming waiting is automatically the safe choice. Put a real dollar figure on a year of waiting; the number is usually larger than buyers expect.